Kansas City Royals @ Washington Nationals

Michael Wacha vs Foster Griffin · 2026-06-16 · 79°F

2.6% edge · Kansas City Royals

Kansas City Royals win

45.6%

Washington Nationals win

54.4%

Fair line (home)

-119

Proj. total

9.29

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Kansas City Royals (mean 4.56)Washington Nationals (mean 4.73)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.29

Over

53.1%

Under

46.9%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Kansas City Royals	45.6%	+128	+119
Washington Nationals	54.4%	-139	-119

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Lane Thomas	4.8	.726	.212	.016	.144	.404	1.100	.252	.324	.407	.731
Bobby Witt Jr.	4.7	.808	.266	.038	.200	.338	.771	.303	.359	.521	.880
Jac Caglianone	4.6	.734	.196	.021	.188	.343	1.056	.271	.334	.461	.795
Maikel Garcia	4.5	.821	.219	.035	.081	.359	.634	.281	.341	.410	.751
Starling Marte	4.4	.828	.193	.016	.102	.260	.927	.281	.336	.412	.747
Salvador Perez	4.3	.698	.166	.005	.195	.198	.795	.264	.309	.453	.762
Nick Loftin	4.2	.679	.167	.032	.087	.384	.599	.258	.336	.390	.726
Tyler Tolbert	4.1	.664	.168	.015	.043	.247	.992	.236	.293	.324	.616
Kameron Misner	4.0	.494	.170	.022	.100	.377	1.202	.222	.302	.367	.669

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
James Wood	4.7	.683	.218	.009	.247	.607	1.193	.288	.386	.532	.917
Luis García Jr.	4.5	.865	.225	.034	.170	.226	.599	.301	.337	.487	.825
Curtis Mead	4.4	.738	.222	.019	.155	.336	.743	.282	.347	.463	.810
CJ Abrams	4.3	.716	.215	.033	.172	.303	.733	.288	.350	.490	.840
Dylan Crews	4.2	.678	.169	.024	.142	.283	.839	.261	.320	.427	.746
Daylen Lile	4.1	.746	.198	.060	.108	.272	.622	.292	.345	.460	.805
Jacob Young	4.0	.767	.156	.027	.079	.252	.646	.278	.332	.398	.729
Drew Millas	3.9	.670	.146	.027	.082	.289	.615	.258	.319	.383	.702
Nasim Nuñez	3.8	.681	.107	.017	.044	.345	.770	.249	.323	.330	.653

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections