0.5% edge · Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers win
44.3%
Toronto Blue Jays win
55.7%
Fair line (home)
-126
Proj. total
8.17
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Texas Rangers (mean 3.96)Toronto Blue Jays (mean 4.21)
Totals
O/U line
8
Proj. total
8.17
Over
43.3%
Under
48.9%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 44.3% | +124 | +126 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 55.7% | -135 | -126 |
Texas Rangers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | 4.7 | .627 | .148 | .023 | .181 | .505 | 1.125 | .236 | .328 | .413 | .741 |
| Wyatt Langford | 4.6 | .632 | .176 | .029 | .151 | .479 | 1.130 | .240 | .324 | .408 | .732 |
| Corey Seager | 4.5 | .666 | .181 | .005 | .180 | .446 | .979 | .255 | .333 | .436 | .770 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 4.4 | .688 | .164 | .019 | .131 | .367 | 1.010 | .251 | .322 | .400 | .722 |
| Jake Burger | 4.3 | .615 | .164 | .007 | .171 | .243 | 1.121 | .238 | .288 | .410 | .698 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 4.2 | .692 | .204 | .021 | .080 | .215 | 1.034 | .252 | .296 | .375 | .671 |
| Alejandro Osuna | 4.1 | .689 | .159 | .011 | .066 | .341 | .849 | .250 | .322 | .353 | .675 |
| Kyle Higashioka | 4.0 | .518 | .139 | .009 | .127 | .243 | 1.051 | .214 | .266 | .359 | .625 |
| Nicky Lopez | 3.8 | .672 | .127 | .019 | .018 | .279 | .686 | .237 | .299 | .299 | .598 |
Toronto Blue Jays — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Springer | 4.6 | .645 | .169 | .009 | .155 | .542 | .991 | .241 | .337 | .401 | .738 |
| Ernie Clement | 4.5 | .859 | .221 | .019 | .085 | .228 | .508 | .278 | .319 | .398 | .717 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 4.4 | .719 | .192 | .004 | .170 | .590 | .645 | .288 | .389 | .476 | .865 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 4.3 | .554 | .161 | .005 | .178 | .413 | 1.065 | .233 | .314 | .416 | .730 |
| Alejandro Kirk | 4.2 | .701 | .161 | .007 | .118 | .495 | .580 | .269 | .362 | .413 | .775 |
| Nathan Lukes | 4.1 | .718 | .175 | .017 | .075 | .368 | .706 | .267 | .339 | .384 | .723 |
| Davis Schneider | 4.0 | .401 | .131 | .009 | .112 | .640 | 1.235 | .197 | .335 | .343 | .678 |
| Myles Straw | 3.9 | .612 | .136 | .014 | .033 | .350 | .833 | .227 | .301 | .302 | .603 |
| Luis Urías | 3.8 | .539 | .136 | .012 | .075 | .407 | .707 | .232 | .330 | .350 | .680 |
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections