0.6% edge · Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins win
41.6%
Texas Rangers win
58.4%
Fair line (home)
-140
Proj. total
8.62
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Minnesota Twins (mean 4.03)Texas Rangers (mean 4.58)
Totals
O/U line
8.5
Proj. total
8.62
Over
46.9%
Under
53.1%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins | 41.6% | +139 | +140 |
| Texas Rangers | 58.4% | -151 | -140 |
Minnesota Twins — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Martin | 4.7 | .740 | .196 | .012 | .051 | .579 | .930 | .244 | .346 | .336 | .682 |
| Byron Buxton | 4.6 | .533 | .167 | .035 | .268 | .380 | 1.361 | .240 | .312 | .490 | .802 |
| Kody Clemens | 4.5 | .541 | .161 | .032 | .196 | .346 | 1.170 | .226 | .293 | .424 | .717 |
| Royce Lewis | 4.4 | .594 | .167 | .003 | .191 | .377 | 1.084 | .239 | .309 | .425 | .734 |
| Josh Bell | 4.3 | .614 | .146 | .005 | .142 | .397 | .977 | .235 | .313 | .386 | .699 |
| Kyler Fedko | 4.2 | .529 | .148 | .012 | .134 | .413 | 1.136 | .220 | .303 | .373 | .676 |
| Luke Keaschall | 4.1 | .695 | .169 | .014 | .064 | .398 | .734 | .260 | .344 | .367 | .711 |
| Ryan Kreidler | 4.0 | .451 | .132 | .020 | .089 | .418 | 1.328 | .197 | .289 | .321 | .610 |
| Alex Jackson | 3.9 | .409 | .139 | .010 | .136 | .258 | 1.325 | .196 | .259 | .355 | .614 |
Texas Rangers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | 4.6 | .640 | .146 | .027 | .217 | .557 | .921 | .259 | .363 | .474 | .837 |
| Josh Jung | 4.5 | .798 | .209 | .010 | .169 | .270 | .882 | .282 | .331 | .458 | .789 |
| Wyatt Langford | 4.4 | .665 | .185 | .027 | .174 | .492 | .903 | .272 | .361 | .470 | .830 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 4.3 | .717 | .171 | .018 | .154 | .411 | .816 | .278 | .358 | .454 | .813 |
| Jake Burger | 4.2 | .631 | .181 | .007 | .212 | .249 | .939 | .265 | .317 | .478 | .795 |
| Alejandro Osuna | 4.1 | .712 | .178 | .011 | .084 | .383 | .704 | .271 | .352 | .395 | .747 |
| Cody Freeman | 4.0 | .693 | .181 | .009 | .115 | .232 | .526 | .268 | .316 | .414 | .730 |
| Nicky Lopez | 3.9 | .727 | .135 | .025 | .025 | .308 | .563 | .260 | .327 | .333 | .661 |
| Elias Díaz | 3.7 | .581 | .145 | .007 | .106 | .239 | .823 | .242 | .298 | .381 | .679 |
Data notes: away starter Mike Paredes: only 28 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Mike Paredes: only 17 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections