2.9% edge · Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins win
50.0%
Texas Rangers win
50.0%
Fair line (home)
-100
Proj. total
8.93
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Minnesota Twins (mean 4.60)Texas Rangers (mean 4.33)
Totals
O/U line
7.5
Proj. total
8.93
Over
57.8%
Under
42.2%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins | 50.0% | -117 | +100 |
| Texas Rangers | 50.0% | +108 | -100 |
Minnesota Twins — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach | 4.8 | .675 | .180 | .016 | .154 | .579 | 1.115 | .245 | .342 | .406 | .747 |
| Byron Buxton | 4.7 | .541 | .178 | .032 | .297 | .398 | 1.267 | .248 | .323 | .516 | .839 |
| Kody Clemens | 4.6 | .558 | .173 | .037 | .212 | .371 | 1.101 | .236 | .306 | .448 | .754 |
| Royce Lewis | 4.5 | .597 | .167 | .004 | .221 | .386 | 1.023 | .244 | .314 | .451 | .765 |
| Josh Bell | 4.4 | .632 | .148 | .008 | .161 | .462 | .898 | .246 | .334 | .415 | .748 |
| Brooks Lee | 4.3 | .651 | .148 | .018 | .148 | .316 | .770 | .247 | .309 | .408 | .716 |
| Victor Caratini | 4.2 | .656 | .122 | .007 | .124 | .344 | .796 | .246 | .327 | .383 | .710 |
| Tristan Gray | 4.0 | .515 | .154 | .014 | .142 | .292 | 1.189 | .222 | .285 | .386 | .671 |
| Luke Keaschall | 3.9 | .666 | .164 | .014 | .066 | .399 | .628 | .264 | .351 | .377 | .728 |
Texas Rangers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | 4.6 | .606 | .143 | .025 | .223 | .469 | 1.132 | .248 | .340 | .463 | .803 |
| Josh Jung | 4.5 | .759 | .204 | .008 | .181 | .222 | 1.077 | .274 | .318 | .456 | .774 |
| Wyatt Langford | 4.3 | .617 | .178 | .027 | .172 | .412 | 1.093 | .255 | .333 | .447 | .780 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 4.2 | .669 | .160 | .017 | .156 | .351 | .998 | .262 | .335 | .435 | .770 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 4.1 | .666 | .202 | .018 | .103 | .199 | 1.062 | .254 | .298 | .395 | .693 |
| Josh Smith | 4.0 | .644 | .165 | .013 | .087 | .362 | .839 | .253 | .337 | .379 | .716 |
| Jake Burger | 3.9 | .565 | .152 | .006 | .198 | .198 | 1.046 | .250 | .297 | .455 | .752 |
| Alejandro Osuna | 3.8 | .639 | .157 | .010 | .082 | .316 | .813 | .259 | .333 | .382 | .715 |
| Kyle Higashioka | 3.7 | .501 | .130 | .011 | .155 | .209 | 1 | .230 | .279 | .409 | .688 |
Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections