Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays

Zac Gallen vs Nick Martinez · 2026-06-26 · 72°F

8.8% edge · Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona Diamondbacks win

52.4%

Tampa Bay Rays win

47.6%

Fair line (home)

+110

Proj. total

9.21

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Arizona Diamondbacks (mean 4.82)Tampa Bay Rays (mean 4.38)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.21

Over

53.3%

Under

46.7%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Arizona Diamondbacks	52.4%	+125	-110
Tampa Bay Rays	47.6%	-136	+110

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ketel Marte	4.9	.792	.212	.025	.212	.422	.665	.282	.352	.486	.838
Geraldo Perdomo	4.8	.827	.179	.043	.098	.501	.521	.273	.358	.406	.764
Corbin Carroll	4.7	.646	.184	.096	.204	.457	.831	.273	.352	.511	.864
Gabriel Moreno	4.5	.830	.206	.011	.126	.389	.660	.285	.351	.432	.783
Nolan Arenado	4.4	.718	.199	.010	.154	.292	.617	.264	.319	.430	.749
Max Kepler	4.3	.645	.181	.017	.122	.356	.759	.245	.314	.393	.707
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	4.2	.735	.186	.014	.128	.230	.608	.269	.315	.421	.737
Pavin Smith	4.1	.591	.159	.012	.107	.461	.932	.239	.328	.378	.706
Tommy Troy	4.0	.657	.164	.030	.064	.319	.803	.252	.318	.366	.684

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Yandy Díaz	4.7	.914	.226	.015	.150	.447	.613	.312	.384	.480	.864
Jonathan Aranda	4.6	.753	.194	.005	.144	.527	1.088	.275	.368	.435	.803
Junior Caminero	4.5	.718	.197	.007	.259	.382	.719	.291	.355	.534	.890
Richie Palacios	4.3	.698	.172	.036	.060	.482	.810	.253	.344	.364	.709
Jonny DeLuca	4.2	.667	.190	.030	.104	.276	.808	.252	.308	.395	.703
Cedric Mullins	4.1	.599	.167	.024	.110	.368	.839	.242	.316	.388	.704
Victor Mesa Jr.	4.0	.641	.184	.019	.091	.306	.847	.253	.315	.387	.702
Taylor Walls	3.9	.554	.142	.034	.046	.410	.887	.223	.309	.323	.633
Hunter Feduccia	3.8	.561	.144	.020	.055	.432	.961	.234	.326	.339	.664

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections