Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays

Michael Wacha vs Drew Rasmussen · 2026-06-22 · 72°F

1.0% edge · Kansas City Royals

Kansas City Royals win

38.7%

Tampa Bay Rays win

61.3%

Fair line (home)

-159

Proj. total

8.34

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Kansas City Royals (mean 3.75)Tampa Bay Rays (mean 4.58)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.34

Over

52.3%

Under

47.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Kansas City Royals	38.7%	+160	+159
Tampa Bay Rays	61.3%	-174	-159

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Carter Jensen	4.7	.625	.192	.019	.129	.386	1.346	.226	.293	.370	.663
Maikel Garcia	4.6	.794	.205	.031	.075	.343	.731	.262	.320	.379	.699
Jac Caglianone	4.5	.667	.185	.020	.163	.299	1.161	.251	.309	.425	.734
Salvador Perez	4.4	.653	.166	.005	.170	.192	.931	.242	.287	.410	.697
Michael Massey	4.3	.685	.194	.010	.115	.176	.817	.248	.284	.386	.670
Lane Thomas	4.2	.588	.158	.011	.109	.346	1.094	.231	.304	.366	.670
John Rave	4.0	.548	.145	.023	.085	.350	1.114	.218	.290	.339	.629
Nick Loftin	3.9	.595	.154	.029	.070	.362	.625	.241	.320	.361	.680
Isaac Collins	3.8	.531	.146	.020	.062	.405	.955	.227	.319	.338	.657

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Yandy Díaz	4.6	.910	.211	.016	.173	.422	.573	.314	.383	.496	.879
Jonny DeLuca	4.5	.704	.199	.035	.126	.293	.845	.254	.309	.408	.717
Jonathan Aranda	4.4	.736	.187	.006	.153	.498	1.024	.281	.370	.451	.821
Junior Caminero	4.3	.691	.190	.006	.276	.361	.670	.297	.359	.559	.919
Ryan Vilade	4.2	.703	.179	.023	.096	.351	.906	.263	.330	.397	.727
Chandler Simpson	4.1	.966	.127	.061	.018	.216	.394	.303	.342	.380	.722
Ben Williamson	4.0	.765	.200	.020	.037	.288	.715	.278	.336	.374	.710
Nick Fortes	3.9	.675	.173	.007	.094	.197	.554	.263	.312	.393	.705
Richie Palacios	3.8	.596	.145	.036	.057	.415	.667	.253	.344	.370	.713

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections