Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals

Max Meyer vs Michael McGreevy · 2026-06-26 · 75°F

6.0% edge · St. Louis Cardinals

Miami Marlins win

44.9%

St. Louis Cardinals win

55.1%

Fair line (home)

-123

Proj. total

8.79

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Miami Marlins (mean 4.27)St. Louis Cardinals (mean 4.53)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.79

Over

48.9%

Under

43.5%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Miami Marlins	44.9%	-108	+123
St. Louis Cardinals	55.1%	-100	-123

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jakob Marsee	4.8	.749	.178	.050	.081	.492	.871	.248	.334	.370	.704
Griffin Conine	4.7	.715	.188	.017	.158	.380	1.263	.251	.318	.414	.732
Xavier Edwards	4.6	1.048	.169	.061	.043	.376	.485	.315	.374	.415	.789
Kyle Stowers	4.5	.665	.202	.025	.150	.357	1.088	.255	.323	.426	.749
Otto Lopez	4.4	.920	.216	.028	.075	.235	.525	.301	.343	.422	.765
Owen Caissie	4.3	.644	.202	.012	.123	.341	1.226	.251	.316	.403	.719
Joe Mack	4.2	.656	.165	.011	.098	.297	.970	.241	.300	.366	.666
Esteury Ruiz	4.0	.656	.171	.033	.083	.297	.832	.255	.322	.387	.709
Graham Pauley	3.9	.571	.180	.013	.093	.295	.716	.238	.301	.372	.673

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt	4.7	.786	.182	.007	.130	.503	.817	.271	.363	.414	.777
Iván Herrera	4.6	.768	.166	.012	.129	.546	.858	.275	.379	.423	.802
Alec Burleson	4.5	.830	.193	.008	.162	.368	.670	.294	.358	.466	.824
Jordan Walker	4.3	.669	.186	.010	.162	.351	1.144	.260	.326	.435	.761
Lars Nootbaar	4.2	.624	.163	.011	.122	.580	.883	.253	.361	.405	.766
Masyn Winn	4.1	.685	.176	.021	.085	.337	.773	.258	.328	.384	.712
Nathan Church	4.0	.730	.151	.014	.084	.244	.694	.262	.315	.378	.692
Blaze Jordan	3.9	.656	.181	.011	.098	.241	.563	.260	.312	.397	.709
José Fermín	3.8	.595	.168	.007	.059	.433	.539	.251	.348	.361	.708

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections