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Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals

Zac Gallen vs Michael McGreevy · 2026-06-25 · 83°F
1.0% edge · Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks win
45.9%
St. Louis Cardinals win
54.1%
Fair line (home)
-118
Proj. total
9.65

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

0%7%13%03691215182124Runs scored
Arizona Diamondbacks (mean 4.75)St. Louis Cardinals (mean 4.91)

Totals

O/U line
9
Proj. total
9.65
Over
46.0%
Under
43.5%

Model vs. market

SideModelBookFair
Arizona Diamondbacks45.9%+118+118
St. Louis Cardinals54.1%-128-118

Arizona Diamondbacks — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
Ketel Marte4.9.862.233.029.182.411.617.295.361.484.844
Geraldo Perdomo4.8.878.187.047.083.488.494.282.363.407.770
Corbin Carroll4.7.682.200.104.178.453.777.280.357.506.862
Adrian Del Castillo4.5.704.228.012.113.3191.083.251.307.391.698
Max Kepler4.4.732.197.022.113.369.721.264.331.408.739
Pavin Smith4.3.697.178.015.097.486.938.258.344.389.734
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.4.2.793.201.017.116.223.556.284.327.430.758
Ildemaro Vargas4.1.801.163.041.067.179.366.275.313.389.702
Tommy Troy4.0.729.174.035.057.295.730.271.331.385.716

St. Louis Cardinals — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
JJ Wetherholt4.7.843.203.011.141.461.735.286.367.441.808
Iván Herrera4.6.844.191.014.135.499.751.294.384.449.833
Alec Burleson4.5.872.202.009.174.346.576.304.362.484.846
Jordan Walker4.4.742.211.011.173.3231.035.282.340.468.808
Lars Nootbaar4.3.679.185.013.130.552.753.272.370.434.804
Masyn Winn4.2.757.190.023.086.313.688.276.338.405.742
Nathan Church4.1.779.167.015.083.232.607.275.322.392.715
Blaze Jordan4.0.718.195.011.099.216.489.276.321.414.735
José Fermín3.8.651.185.008.072.402.463.271.357.395.752
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections