Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals

Eduardo Rodriguez vs Kyle Leahy · 2026-06-23 · 80°F

3.9% edge · Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona Diamondbacks win

52.8%

St. Louis Cardinals win

47.2%

Fair line (home)

+112

Proj. total

9.9

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Arizona Diamondbacks (mean 5.23)St. Louis Cardinals (mean 4.67)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.9

Over

58.5%

Under

41.5%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Arizona Diamondbacks	52.8%	-100	-112
St. Louis Cardinals	47.2%	-109	+112

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ketel Marte	5.0	.841	.220	.029	.183	.534	.682	.288	.371	.475	.846
Geraldo Perdomo	4.9	.873	.186	.044	.087	.627	.538	.282	.382	.410	.792
Corbin Carroll	4.8	.657	.199	.110	.177	.584	.851	.276	.374	.505	.879
Gabriel Moreno	4.7	.878	.225	.013	.115	.488	.687	.296	.373	.439	.812
Pavin Smith	4.6	.679	.186	.013	.096	.608	1.009	.247	.351	.374	.726
Nolan Arenado	4.5	.752	.198	.011	.127	.350	.608	.268	.333	.415	.748
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	4.3	.781	.205	.017	.113	.277	.613	.277	.329	.421	.750
LuJames Groover	4.2	.784	.191	.012	.060	.414	.686	.277	.355	.382	.737
Tommy Troy	4.1	.729	.173	.033	.054	.392	.777	.268	.344	.377	.721

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt	4.7	.824	.196	.010	.134	.494	.711	.280	.365	.429	.794
Iván Herrera	4.6	.822	.192	.013	.138	.522	.743	.292	.384	.450	.834
Nelson Velázquez	4.5	.622	.163	.013	.186	.396	1.115	.242	.315	.426	.741
Jordan Walker	4.4	.722	.211	.011	.171	.347	.996	.279	.341	.466	.807
José Fermín	4.3	.721	.204	.008	.082	.462	.516	.270	.356	.394	.750
Masyn Winn	4.2	.736	.186	.026	.086	.333	.677	.272	.337	.403	.739
Lars Nootbaar	4.1	.644	.173	.011	.128	.540	.717	.273	.373	.439	.813
Blaze Jordan	4.0	.700	.199	.011	.103	.223	.485	.274	.319	.417	.737
Pedro Pagés	3.8	.601	.147	.009	.110	.255	.876	.244	.300	.384	.684

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections