Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants

Reynaldo López vs Trevor McDonald · 2026-06-26 · 60°F

2.5% edge · Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves win

55.2%

San Francisco Giants win

44.8%

Fair line (home)

+123

Proj. total

7.71

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Atlanta Braves (mean 4.20)San Francisco Giants (mean 3.51)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

7.71

Over

37.9%

Under

62.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Atlanta Braves	55.2%	-116	-123
San Francisco Giants	44.8%	+107	+123

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Michael Harris II	4.9	.925	.212	.030	.114	.230	.798	.279	.321	.413	.733
Mauricio Dubón	4.8	.906	.212	.024	.050	.278	.540	.269	.318	.362	.679
Matt Olson	4.6	.669	.213	.009	.128	.591	.969	.255	.357	.409	.766
Ozzie Albies	4.5	.787	.190	.013	.075	.347	.562	.259	.326	.366	.692
Drake Baldwin	4.4	.773	.161	.013	.114	.469	.690	.272	.357	.408	.765
Austin Riley	4.3	.672	.176	.017	.100	.378	1.024	.249	.326	.381	.707
Dominic Smith	4.2	.736	.160	.015	.063	.337	.713	.256	.326	.356	.682
Mike Yastrzemski	4.1	.553	.167	.022	.076	.479	.845	.230	.330	.354	.683
Ha-Seong Kim	4.0	.639	.140	.013	.042	.469	.652	.240	.337	.325	.662

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Luis Arraez	4.5	1.030	.187	.041	.035	.252	.229	.305	.348	.393	.742
Bryce Eldridge	4.4	.591	.177	.006	.112	.410	1.387	.223	.301	.355	.656
Casey Schmitt	4.3	.634	.164	.015	.122	.269	.989	.234	.290	.374	.664
Rafael Devers	4.2	.523	.162	.011	.135	.486	1.188	.225	.321	.385	.706
Jung Hoo Lee	4.1	.748	.182	.046	.049	.282	.498	.271	.327	.382	.709
Willy Adames	4.0	.498	.154	.012	.112	.412	1.091	.217	.302	.361	.663
Matt Chapman	3.9	.480	.161	.015	.096	.435	.979	.220	.315	.361	.676
Drew Cavanaugh	3.8	.494	.140	.006	.059	.357	1.193	.209	.296	.307	.603
Victor Bericoto	3.6	.580	.111	.017	.067	.213	.947	.226	.275	.327	.602

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections