Atlanta Braves @ San Francisco Giants

Bryce Elder vs Logan Webb · 2026-06-27 · 63°F

0.7% edge · Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves win

46.3%

San Francisco Giants win

53.8%

Fair line (home)

-116

Proj. total

7.83

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Atlanta Braves (mean 3.85)San Francisco Giants (mean 3.98)

O/U line

Proj. total

7.83

Over

39.5%

Under

52.3%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Atlanta Braves	46.3%	+115	+116
San Francisco Giants	53.8%	-125	-116

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Michael Harris II	4.8	.915	.218	.031	.106	.187	.870	.278	.311	.410	.721
Ozzie Albies	4.7	.828	.211	.013	.074	.297	.659	.261	.314	.367	.681
Matt Olson	4.5	.677	.210	.009	.125	.487	1.064	.253	.338	.403	.740
Dominic Smith	4.4	.799	.174	.017	.060	.296	.838	.255	.312	.350	.661
Drake Baldwin	4.3	.783	.165	.014	.106	.383	.763	.272	.341	.401	.743
Mauricio Dubón	4.2	.813	.189	.018	.044	.210	.556	.266	.306	.355	.661
Austin Riley	4.1	.661	.172	.017	.089	.291	1.092	.247	.308	.372	.680
Mike Yastrzemski	4.0	.548	.168	.017	.074	.397	.914	.226	.308	.344	.653
Ha-Seong Kim	3.9	.643	.138	.015	.042	.392	.695	.241	.322	.326	.647

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Luis Arraez	4.6	1.098	.200	.042	.035	.242	.178	.319	.360	.410	.769
Casey Schmitt	4.5	.718	.191	.015	.131	.260	.897	.253	.305	.401	.705
Jung Hoo Lee	4.4	.854	.207	.054	.054	.291	.426	.290	.343	.408	.751
Rafael Devers	4.3	.577	.184	.011	.132	.479	1.049	.242	.333	.403	.736
Willy Adames	4.2	.558	.174	.014	.125	.412	.974	.234	.315	.390	.704
Bryce Eldridge	4.0	.595	.175	.007	.113	.364	1.127	.243	.316	.387	.703
Matt Chapman	3.9	.551	.180	.016	.105	.432	.863	.246	.337	.399	.736
Drew Gilbert	3.8	.555	.153	.029	.078	.283	.702	.233	.300	.361	.660
Drew Cavanaugh	3.7	.530	.149	.006	.063	.343	1.041	.227	.310	.333	.644

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections