Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres

Roki Sasaki vs Walker Buehler · 2026-06-26 · 67°F

0.7% edge · Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers win

58.4%

San Diego Padres win

41.6%

Fair line (home)

+141

Proj. total

9.08

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.05)San Diego Padres (mean 4.03)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

9.08

Over

58.7%

Under

41.3%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	58.4%	-143	-141
San Diego Padres	41.6%	+132	+141

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	5.0	.631	.172	.040	.269	.793	1.173	.270	.393	.528	.921
Andy Pages	4.8	.723	.205	.013	.199	.330	.990	.256	.316	.441	.757
Freddie Freeman	4.7	.736	.210	.015	.156	.566	.872	.273	.369	.446	.815
Mookie Betts	4.6	.691	.191	.020	.149	.555	.557	.261	.356	.430	.786
Max Muncy	4.5	.492	.134	.008	.200	.720	1.097	.224	.357	.425	.782
Kyle Tucker	4.4	.598	.159	.017	.164	.666	.733	.253	.371	.438	.809
Tommy Edman	4.3	.664	.157	.023	.107	.314	.802	.242	.306	.375	.681
Dalton Rushing	4.2	.525	.139	.007	.148	.448	1.125	.223	.318	.385	.703
Alex Freeland	4.1	.531	.131	.016	.090	.460	1.076	.216	.314	.337	.651

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Fernando Tatis Jr.	4.6	.700	.172	.014	.176	.555	.957	.265	.362	.447	.809
Samad Taylor	4.5	.673	.138	.027	.080	.452	1.186	.228	.313	.336	.648
Jackson Merrill	4.4	.637	.181	.032	.147	.362	.980	.249	.318	.421	.738
Manny Machado	4.3	.600	.157	.003	.183	.414	.932	.245	.322	.429	.751
Gavin Sheets	4.2	.556	.160	.006	.142	.415	.939	.231	.315	.392	.707
Xander Bogaerts	4.1	.689	.147	.004	.106	.394	.770	.259	.337	.388	.726
Ty France	4.0	.618	.140	.015	.096	.288	.840	.244	.324	.373	.696
Will Wagner	3.9	.596	.146	.012	.062	.450	.727	.242	.338	.347	.685
Rodolfo Durán	3.8	.465	.130	.014	.107	.281	.979	.209	.278	.349	.627

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections