New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies

Freddy Peralta vs Cristopher Sánchez · 2026-06-20 · 83°F

6.1% edge · New York Mets

New York Mets win

42.5%

Philadelphia Phillies win

57.5%

Fair line (home)

-135

Proj. total

8.58

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

New York Mets (mean 4.03)Philadelphia Phillies (mean 4.54)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.58

Over

54.4%

Under

45.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
New York Mets	42.5%	+169	+135
Philadelphia Phillies	57.5%	-185	-135

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Carson Benge	4.7	.801	.194	.025	.107	.299	1.144	.256	.309	.384	.694
Bo Bichette	4.6	.915	.219	.015	.113	.239	.856	.289	.329	.424	.752
Juan Soto	4.5	.672	.164	.016	.209	.713	.857	.280	.396	.497	.893
Marcus Semien	4.4	.699	.164	.012	.117	.313	.881	.242	.300	.374	.673
Eric Wagaman	4.3	.694	.187	.023	.097	.247	1.079	.247	.294	.376	.670
Francisco Alvarez	4.2	.593	.157	.010	.155	.315	1.118	.237	.301	.404	.705
Mark Vientos	4.1	.621	.177	.009	.148	.232	1.114	.249	.297	.416	.713
Luis Torrens	4.0	.631	.177	.008	.083	.205	.969	.240	.287	.359	.645
Zack Short	3.9	.472	.139	.006	.060	.369	1.216	.196	.279	.291	.570

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Trea Turner	4.6	.773	.181	.023	.146	.350	.980	.265	.326	.422	.748
Kyle Schwarber	4.5	.412	.104	.011	.321	.750	1.397	.229	.366	.522	.889
Bryce Harper	4.4	.588	.187	.009	.222	.651	.991	.270	.383	.504	.887
Brandon Marsh	4.3	.657	.165	.023	.133	.451	1.257	.256	.338	.415	.753
Alec Bohm	4.2	.700	.168	.015	.134	.325	.726	.265	.330	.422	.752
Bryson Stott	4.1	.657	.148	.023	.105	.400	.751	.254	.332	.392	.725
J.T. Realmuto	4.0	.578	.146	.015	.127	.307	1.015	.239	.309	.393	.703
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	3.9	.453	.128	.008	.119	.432	1.158	.208	.305	.356	.661
Justin Crawford	3.8	.657	.139	.025	.059	.303	.842	.257	.322	.364	.686

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections