Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees

Andrew Abbott vs Will Warren · 2026-06-20 · 81°F

16.7% edge · Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds win

39.3%

New York Yankees win

60.7%

Fair line (home)

-155

Proj. total

9.53

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cincinnati Reds (mean 4.34)New York Yankees (mean 5.19)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.53

Over

55.5%

Under

44.5%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cincinnati Reds	39.3%	+326	+155
New York Yankees	60.7%	-409	-155

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Blake Dunn	4.8	.740	.155	.016	.103	.380	1.344	.236	.311	.351	.662
JJ Bleday	4.7	.530	.184	.016	.237	.552	1.071	.237	.331	.463	.794
Sal Stewart	4.5	.669	.196	.003	.194	.460	.950	.262	.342	.456	.798
Nathaniel Lowe	4.4	.630	.144	.010	.174	.512	1.105	.246	.338	.422	.760
Spencer Steer	4.3	.572	.167	.009	.172	.444	.958	.239	.326	.422	.748
Noelvi Marte	4.2	.690	.166	.013	.147	.263	.933	.258	.311	.419	.730
Matt McLain	4.1	.539	.156	.004	.142	.416	1.121	.229	.315	.391	.705
Jose Trevino	4.0	.620	.148	.005	.112	.246	.667	.237	.289	.369	.657
Edwin Arroyo	3.9	.631	.133	.032	.081	.225	.851	.242	.294	.363	.657

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ben Rice	4.6	.584	.186	.026	.340	.542	.918	.280	.372	.590	.962
Amed Rosario	4.5	.870	.199	.028	.147	.240	.790	.291	.333	.454	.788
Paul Goldschmidt	4.4	.719	.191	.011	.208	.420	.865	.284	.356	.495	.851
Cody Bellinger	4.3	.699	.166	.031	.236	.437	.583	.293	.368	.535	.903
Jasson Domínguez	4.2	.690	.155	.008	.179	.395	.908	.272	.346	.459	.805
José Caballero	4.1	.618	.169	.008	.112	.406	.898	.249	.334	.392	.725
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4.0	.553	.129	.020	.246	.423	.953	.267	.348	.522	.870
Anthony Volpe	3.9	.518	.167	.020	.162	.341	.839	.246	.316	.443	.759
Ali Sánchez	3.8	.573	.127	.005	.120	.306	.883	.240	.306	.384	.689

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections