3.3% edge · Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox win
40.8%
New York Yankees win
59.2%
Fair line (home)
-145
Proj. total
8.42
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Chicago White Sox (mean 3.87)New York Yankees (mean 4.56)
Totals
O/U line
8.5
Proj. total
8.42
Over
45.6%
Under
54.4%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 40.8% | +161 | +145 |
| New York Yankees | 59.2% | -176 | -145 |
Chicago White Sox — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Meidroth | 4.7 | .758 | .157 | .005 | .088 | .556 | .918 | .245 | .343 | .350 | .692 |
| Randal Grichuk | 4.6 | .612 | .181 | .010 | .191 | .307 | 1.077 | .233 | .291 | .414 | .705 |
| Miguel Vargas | 4.5 | .521 | .165 | .014 | .177 | .581 | .915 | .227 | .335 | .414 | .749 |
| Colson Montgomery | 4.4 | .457 | .125 | .010 | .225 | .417 | 1.395 | .209 | .296 | .418 | .714 |
| Everson Pereira | 4.3 | .496 | .126 | .008 | .163 | .362 | 1.447 | .204 | .281 | .367 | .648 |
| Edgar Quero | 4.2 | .639 | .120 | .003 | .086 | .356 | .935 | .225 | .302 | .328 | .630 |
| Braden Montgomery | 4.1 | .542 | .142 | .010 | .103 | .335 | 1.270 | .216 | .290 | .344 | .634 |
| Luisangel Acuña | 4.0 | .673 | .139 | .011 | .054 | .259 | .750 | .239 | .294 | .328 | .622 |
| Sam Antonacci | 3.8 | .622 | .131 | .023 | .053 | .395 | .725 | .250 | .352 | .351 | .703 |
New York Yankees — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt | 4.6 | .775 | .200 | .015 | .156 | .443 | .876 | .277 | .353 | .446 | .799 |
| Ben Rice | 4.5 | .567 | .172 | .024 | .237 | .565 | .871 | .258 | .361 | .497 | .859 |
| Amed Rosario | 4.4 | .841 | .191 | .026 | .105 | .233 | .745 | .282 | .326 | .417 | .743 |
| Cody Bellinger | 4.3 | .699 | .167 | .031 | .169 | .444 | .544 | .279 | .358 | .471 | .829 |
| Jasson Domínguez | 4.2 | .688 | .159 | .006 | .132 | .405 | .879 | .263 | .342 | .416 | .758 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 4.1 | .567 | .137 | .017 | .180 | .448 | .964 | .250 | .339 | .447 | .786 |
| José Caballero | 4.0 | .596 | .161 | .008 | .077 | .411 | .845 | .242 | .336 | .359 | .694 |
| Anthony Volpe | 3.9 | .523 | .174 | .020 | .110 | .364 | .808 | .238 | .316 | .395 | .711 |
| Ali Sánchez | 3.7 | .575 | .128 | .007 | .080 | .308 | .849 | .232 | .301 | .345 | .646 |
Data notes: home starter Carlos Rodón: only 34 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Anthony Kay: only 73 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections