3.4% edge · Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies win
40.0%
Minnesota Twins win
60.0%
Fair line (home)
-150
Proj. total
10.09
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Colorado Rockies (mean 4.62)Minnesota Twins (mean 5.47)
Totals
O/U line
9.5
Proj. total
10.09
Over
50.0%
Under
50.0%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 40.0% | +126 | +150 |
| Minnesota Twins | 60.0% | -137 | -150 |
Colorado Rockies — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McCarthy | 4.8 | .907 | .192 | .071 | .091 | .314 | .739 | .283 | .339 | .419 | .758 |
| Mickey Moniak | 4.7 | .738 | .195 | .056 | .220 | .234 | 1.030 | .272 | .315 | .489 | .804 |
| Hunter Goodman | 4.6 | .636 | .208 | .024 | .259 | .307 | 1.135 | .264 | .320 | .507 | .827 |
| TJ Rumfield | 4.5 | .759 | .186 | .015 | .132 | .373 | .750 | .268 | .338 | .418 | .756 |
| Willi Castro | 4.4 | .741 | .170 | .030 | .092 | .331 | .925 | .261 | .335 | .389 | .724 |
| Tyler Freeman | 4.3 | .834 | .187 | .016 | .071 | .301 | .469 | .287 | .358 | .399 | .757 |
| Troy Johnston | 4.2 | .748 | .204 | .022 | .091 | .267 | .757 | .276 | .333 | .411 | .744 |
| Kyle Karros | 4.1 | .713 | .197 | .015 | .073 | .377 | .820 | .273 | .347 | .395 | .742 |
| Brett Sullivan | 4.0 | .606 | .173 | .028 | .077 | .240 | .647 | .240 | .292 | .364 | .656 |
Minnesota Twins — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach | 4.7 | .825 | .219 | .017 | .177 | .526 | .890 | .297 | .381 | .485 | .866 |
| Byron Buxton | 4.6 | .694 | .216 | .040 | .302 | .364 | 1.012 | .299 | .364 | .586 | .950 |
| Kody Clemens | 4.5 | .679 | .211 | .042 | .213 | .333 | .859 | .278 | .339 | .504 | .844 |
| Josh Bell | 4.4 | .756 | .180 | .008 | .172 | .428 | .734 | .285 | .363 | .468 | .830 |
| Victor Caratini | 4.3 | .823 | .161 | .009 | .130 | .341 | .652 | .292 | .365 | .440 | .805 |
| Royce Lewis | 4.2 | .697 | .200 | .005 | .211 | .343 | .771 | .292 | .354 | .512 | .866 |
| Brooks Lee | 4.1 | .758 | .171 | .022 | .146 | .282 | .550 | .292 | .346 | .465 | .812 |
| Tristan Gray | 4.0 | .628 | .185 | .019 | .149 | .258 | .977 | .267 | .321 | .450 | .771 |
| Luke Keaschall | 3.9 | .754 | .201 | .018 | .070 | .362 | .497 | .304 | .381 | .434 | .816 |
Data notes: home starter Mike Paredes: only 52 BF vs LHB this season · home starter Mike Paredes: only 34 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections