6.8% edge · Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers win
54.9%
Minnesota Twins win
45.1%
Fair line (home)
+122
Proj. total
8.72
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 4.66)Minnesota Twins (mean 4.06)
Totals
O/U line
9
Proj. total
8.72
Over
38.2%
Under
51.9%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 54.9% | -171 | -122 |
| Minnesota Twins | 45.1% | +156 | +122 |
Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 4.9 | .637 | .183 | .043 | .249 | .760 | 1.135 | .272 | .390 | .520 | .910 |
| Andy Pages | 4.8 | .731 | .218 | .013 | .184 | .325 | .946 | .260 | .320 | .441 | .761 |
| Freddie Freeman | 4.7 | .753 | .222 | .014 | .152 | .549 | .814 | .281 | .375 | .455 | .830 |
| Mookie Betts | 4.6 | .708 | .190 | .022 | .141 | .547 | .509 | .266 | .359 | .431 | .790 |
| Tommy Edman | 4.5 | .708 | .167 | .020 | .108 | .296 | .790 | .244 | .304 | .374 | .678 |
| Max Muncy | 4.3 | .491 | .130 | .009 | .180 | .678 | 1.042 | .224 | .354 | .414 | .768 |
| Alex Call | 4.3 | .608 | .156 | .011 | .076 | .556 | .760 | .234 | .345 | .346 | .691 |
| Alex Freeland | 4.1 | .573 | .138 | .014 | .090 | .446 | 1.053 | .224 | .316 | .344 | .660 |
| Chuckie Robinson | 4.0 | .592 | .119 | .020 | .071 | .249 | 1.006 | .215 | .273 | .315 | .588 |
Minnesota Twins — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Martin | 4.6 | .757 | .186 | .013 | .050 | .564 | .762 | .254 | .355 | .345 | .700 |
| Byron Buxton | 4.5 | .537 | .181 | .030 | .274 | .374 | 1.135 | .253 | .325 | .515 | .841 |
| Josh Bell | 4.4 | .656 | .154 | .004 | .147 | .406 | .840 | .245 | .323 | .399 | .722 |
| Royce Lewis | 4.3 | .576 | .171 | .005 | .199 | .366 | .904 | .246 | .316 | .447 | .763 |
| Brooks Lee | 4.2 | .633 | .138 | .010 | .132 | .272 | .679 | .237 | .294 | .382 | .675 |
| Victor Caratini | 4.0 | .657 | .118 | .003 | .114 | .306 | .735 | .245 | .321 | .372 | .693 |
| Luke Keaschall | 3.9 | .663 | .164 | .013 | .071 | .392 | .605 | .261 | .347 | .377 | .723 |
| Ryan Kreidler | 3.8 | .454 | .127 | .018 | .087 | .413 | 1.143 | .203 | .297 | .328 | .625 |
| Kyler Fedko | 3.7 | .481 | .128 | .014 | .117 | .372 | .910 | .224 | .308 | .377 | .685 |
Data notes: home starter Kendry Rojas: only 23 BF vs LHB this season · home starter Kendry Rojas: only 38 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections