1.0% edge · Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers win
57.0%
Minnesota Twins win
43.0%
Fair line (home)
+133
Proj. total
9.41
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.12)Minnesota Twins (mean 4.29)
Totals
O/U line
10
Proj. total
9.41
Over
36.6%
Under
56.4%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 57.0% | -145 | -133 |
| Minnesota Twins | 43.0% | +134 | +133 |
Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 4.9 | .655 | .190 | .043 | .305 | .607 | 1.128 | .282 | .377 | .564 | .940 |
| Andy Pages | 4.8 | .767 | .208 | .013 | .221 | .250 | .923 | .271 | .316 | .472 | .788 |
| Freddie Freeman | 4.7 | .771 | .230 | .019 | .176 | .436 | .808 | .287 | .361 | .478 | .839 |
| Mookie Betts | 4.5 | .733 | .196 | .020 | .171 | .416 | .526 | .273 | .343 | .456 | .799 |
| Max Muncy | 4.4 | .533 | .142 | .011 | .217 | .560 | 1.053 | .236 | .340 | .449 | .790 |
| Kyle Tucker | 4.3 | .625 | .174 | .019 | .178 | .504 | .692 | .262 | .352 | .458 | .809 |
| Tommy Edman | 4.2 | .699 | .154 | .024 | .115 | .238 | .735 | .251 | .300 | .389 | .689 |
| Dalton Rushing | 4.1 | .560 | .144 | .007 | .163 | .344 | 1.077 | .235 | .309 | .409 | .718 |
| Ryan Ward | 4.0 | .521 | .142 | .016 | .152 | .292 | 1.009 | .226 | .287 | .398 | .685 |
Minnesota Twins — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach | 4.6 | .628 | .171 | .016 | .169 | .519 | 1.052 | .245 | .335 | .421 | .757 |
| Byron Buxton | 4.5 | .525 | .162 | .030 | .316 | .356 | 1.211 | .255 | .324 | .544 | .868 |
| Kody Clemens | 4.3 | .523 | .162 | .030 | .212 | .315 | 1.042 | .233 | .296 | .448 | .745 |
| Josh Bell | 4.2 | .594 | .142 | .004 | .173 | .393 | .887 | .240 | .317 | .416 | .733 |
| Royce Lewis | 4.1 | .542 | .158 | .004 | .216 | .353 | .947 | .244 | .313 | .460 | .773 |
| Victor Caratini | 4.0 | .636 | .117 | .003 | .119 | .303 | .785 | .240 | .315 | .372 | .687 |
| Brooks Lee | 3.9 | .592 | .132 | .009 | .150 | .259 | .694 | .243 | .298 | .408 | .706 |
| Luke Keaschall | 3.8 | .614 | .150 | .013 | .073 | .384 | .638 | .253 | .340 | .370 | .710 |
| Ryan Kreidler | 3.7 | .413 | .117 | .015 | .099 | .397 | 1.189 | .197 | .290 | .332 | .623 |
Data notes: away starter Eric Lauer: only 46 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections