Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

David Peterson vs Kyle Harrison · 2026-06-27 · 71°F

7.9% edge · Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs win

49.9%

Milwaukee Brewers win

50.1%

Fair line (home)

-101

Proj. total

8.41

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Chicago Cubs (mean 4.30)Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.11)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.41

Over

45.1%

Under

47.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Chicago Cubs	49.9%	+134	+101
Milwaukee Brewers	50.1%	-145	-101

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Pete Crow-Armstrong	4.8	.639	.178	.043	.193	.337	1.280	.239	.304	.430	.734
Matt Shaw	4.7	.628	.176	.019	.135	.463	1.008	.229	.313	.376	.689
Seiya Suzuki	4.6	.601	.156	.017	.174	.536	1.277	.236	.331	.413	.743
Alex Bregman	4.5	.645	.159	.011	.144	.539	.749	.247	.347	.405	.752
Michael Busch	4.4	.518	.150	.026	.177	.535	1.179	.230	.333	.424	.757
Nico Hoerner	4.3	.797	.177	.015	.058	.349	.443	.271	.342	.370	.712
Ian Happ	4.2	.474	.147	.010	.130	.524	1.211	.211	.318	.366	.684
Carson Kelly	4.1	.581	.120	.007	.115	.413	.877	.229	.317	.363	.681
Dansby Swanson	3.9	.525	.121	.016	.118	.399	1.083	.222	.305	.366	.672

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jackson Chourio	4.6	.741	.228	.019	.164	.357	.967	.271	.331	.448	.779
Brice Turang	4.5	.745	.163	.020	.103	.553	.955	.261	.355	.391	.746
William Contreras	4.4	.729	.194	.006	.129	.557	.746	.276	.372	.430	.802
Andrew Vaughn	4.3	.672	.177	.013	.128	.357	.800	.253	.323	.403	.727
Gary Sánchez	4.2	.506	.116	.017	.170	.468	1.043	.220	.320	.399	.719
Blake Perkins	4.1	.587	.137	.015	.059	.436	1.047	.219	.309	.313	.623
Sal Frelick	4.0	.747	.153	.019	.066	.383	.511	.275	.351	.384	.735
Cooper Pratt	3.9	.566	.122	.023	.055	.401	.761	.223	.312	.320	.632
Joey Ortiz	3.8	.602	.158	.014	.068	.357	.634	.250	.327	.366	.693

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections