Cleveland Guardians @ Milwaukee Brewers

Gavin Williams vs Brandon Sproat · 2026-06-17 · 65°F

1.4% edge · Milwaukee Brewers

Cleveland Guardians win

44.9%

Milwaukee Brewers win

55.1%

Fair line (home)

-123

Proj. total

7.98

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 3.84)Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.14)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

7.98

Over

49.1%

Under

50.9%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	44.9%	+112	+123
Milwaukee Brewers	55.1%	-121	-123

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Travis Bazzana	4.8	.637	.200	.028	.093	.587	1.170	.231	.334	.359	.693
Kyle Manzardo	4.7	.561	.175	.019	.180	.543	1.188	.230	.329	.415	.744
Brayan Rocchio	4.6	.723	.182	.024	.083	.410	.736	.249	.330	.367	.698
Rhys Hoskins	4.5	.503	.159	.006	.148	.600	1.217	.215	.331	.377	.709
Daniel Schneemann	4.3	.568	.169	.010	.089	.477	1.175	.218	.308	.336	.644
David Fry	4.2	.535	.157	.008	.121	.437	1.175	.219	.311	.362	.674
Steven Kwan	4.1	.743	.159	.007	.055	.469	.407	.265	.353	.358	.712
Petey Halpin	4.0	.563	.149	.016	.065	.316	1.117	.215	.281	.317	.597
Patrick Bailey	3.9	.544	.133	.020	.066	.329	1.043	.215	.288	.319	.607

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Christian Yelich	4.6	.709	.153	.015	.141	.571	1.287	.252	.350	.403	.752
Jackson Chourio	4.5	.678	.212	.018	.181	.358	1.097	.263	.325	.455	.780
Brice Turang	4.4	.676	.160	.024	.110	.549	1.084	.252	.349	.392	.741
William Contreras	4.3	.692	.171	.005	.127	.564	.853	.267	.367	.418	.786
Jake Bauers	4.2	.490	.140	.004	.158	.576	1.283	.221	.333	.394	.727
Sal Frelick	4.1	.749	.153	.016	.068	.407	.638	.269	.347	.375	.722
Garrett Mitchell	4.0	.510	.145	.023	.089	.495	1.423	.221	.324	.353	.678
Cooper Pratt	3.9	.543	.116	.023	.057	.416	.892	.215	.306	.313	.619
David Hamilton	3.8	.499	.118	.023	.083	.378	1.014	.215	.298	.338	.637

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections