1.1% edge · Milwaukee Brewers
Cleveland Guardians win
40.2%
Milwaukee Brewers win
59.8%
Fair line (home)
-149
Proj. total
8.28
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Cleveland Guardians (mean 3.78)Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.50)
Totals
O/U line
8
Proj. total
8.28
Over
43.9%
Under
48.2%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 40.2% | +137 | +149 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 59.8% | -149 | -149 |
Cleveland Guardians — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Bazzana | 4.7 | .620 | .186 | .029 | .101 | .504 | 1.232 | .225 | .317 | .356 | .673 |
| Brayan Rocchio | 4.6 | .711 | .187 | .016 | .095 | .333 | .806 | .241 | .313 | .362 | .675 |
| Rhys Hoskins | 4.5 | .495 | .153 | .008 | .177 | .545 | 1.305 | .214 | .320 | .394 | .714 |
| David Fry | 4.4 | .526 | .160 | .007 | .138 | .400 | 1.284 | .211 | .296 | .361 | .656 |
| Kyle Manzardo | 4.3 | .510 | .157 | .014 | .188 | .429 | 1.174 | .228 | .316 | .425 | .741 |
| Stuart Fairchild | 4.2 | .561 | .146 | .022 | .094 | .381 | 1.166 | .221 | .306 | .347 | .653 |
| Steven Kwan | 4.1 | .744 | .156 | .010 | .066 | .411 | .425 | .268 | .348 | .371 | .719 |
| Gabriel Arias | 4.0 | .536 | .151 | .017 | .116 | .246 | 1.285 | .222 | .279 | .367 | .646 |
| Austin Hedges | 3.9 | .517 | .113 | .005 | .085 | .302 | .971 | .205 | .276 | .312 | .589 |
Milwaukee Brewers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | 4.6 | .758 | .166 | .014 | .171 | .462 | 1.107 | .271 | .349 | .443 | .793 |
| Jackson Chourio | 4.5 | .743 | .232 | .019 | .207 | .274 | .897 | .287 | .334 | .499 | .833 |
| Brice Turang | 4.4 | .735 | .173 | .021 | .129 | .441 | .929 | .270 | .346 | .423 | .770 |
| William Contreras | 4.3 | .735 | .190 | .005 | .163 | .435 | .725 | .287 | .364 | .468 | .831 |
| Jake Bauers | 4.2 | .543 | .158 | .007 | .201 | .459 | 1.123 | .247 | .337 | .457 | .794 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 4.1 | .646 | .172 | .012 | .157 | .277 | .752 | .263 | .320 | .441 | .761 |
| Garrett Mitchell | 4.0 | .541 | .163 | .028 | .110 | .410 | 1.255 | .240 | .326 | .396 | .722 |
| Cooper Pratt | 3.8 | .584 | .129 | .028 | .070 | .325 | .752 | .233 | .306 | .346 | .652 |
| David Hamilton | 3.7 | .526 | .122 | .023 | .103 | .298 | .898 | .228 | .294 | .368 | .662 |
Data notes: home starter Robert Gasser: only 28 BF vs LHB this season · home starter Robert Gasser: only 59 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections