9.1% edge · Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers win
49.8%
Miami Marlins win
50.2%
Fair line (home)
-101
Proj. total
8.5
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Texas Rangers (mean 4.37)Miami Marlins (mean 4.13)
Totals
O/U line
8.5
Proj. total
8.5
Over
46.1%
Under
53.9%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 49.8% | +141 | +101 |
| Miami Marlins | 50.2% | -153 | -101 |
Texas Rangers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | 4.8 | .670 | .164 | .024 | .193 | .551 | .977 | .252 | .351 | .441 | .792 |
| Wyatt Langford | 4.7 | .693 | .196 | .033 | .165 | .514 | .977 | .261 | .349 | .443 | .792 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 4.6 | .768 | .189 | .020 | .133 | .413 | .891 | .269 | .346 | .422 | .768 |
| Josh Jung | 4.5 | .801 | .209 | .010 | .146 | .247 | .888 | .277 | .323 | .436 | .759 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 4.4 | .741 | .226 | .022 | .095 | .224 | .954 | .264 | .309 | .399 | .708 |
| Alejandro Osuna | 4.3 | .749 | .186 | .014 | .068 | .384 | .747 | .266 | .344 | .376 | .720 |
| Jarred Kelenic | 4.2 | .578 | .163 | .017 | .120 | .329 | 1.188 | .230 | .294 | .375 | .670 |
| Kyle Higashioka | 4.1 | .572 | .150 | .012 | .140 | .253 | .933 | .232 | .285 | .389 | .673 |
| Nicky Lopez | 3.9 | .730 | .138 | .020 | .022 | .289 | .596 | .253 | .317 | .321 | .638 |
Miami Marlins — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Marsee | 4.6 | .657 | .161 | .046 | .090 | .551 | .959 | .239 | .341 | .370 | .710 |
| Otto Lopez | 4.5 | .881 | .214 | .027 | .094 | .292 | .614 | .292 | .343 | .423 | .767 |
| Kyle Stowers | 4.4 | .586 | .186 | .025 | .168 | .412 | 1.177 | .246 | .326 | .435 | .761 |
| Xavier Edwards | 4.3 | .897 | .139 | .048 | .044 | .396 | .538 | .292 | .361 | .387 | .748 |
| Owen Caissie | 4.2 | .567 | .179 | .013 | .145 | .384 | 1.326 | .240 | .317 | .410 | .727 |
| Heriberto Hernández | 4.1 | .562 | .143 | .025 | .138 | .414 | 1.049 | .239 | .323 | .407 | .730 |
| Joe Mack | 4.0 | .575 | .145 | .012 | .108 | .313 | 1.018 | .232 | .299 | .368 | .667 |
| Connor Norby | 3.9 | .567 | .171 | .008 | .102 | .317 | 1.005 | .243 | .314 | .384 | .698 |
| Javier Sanoja | 3.7 | .656 | .192 | .022 | .061 | .236 | .383 | .268 | .319 | .389 | .708 |
Data notes: away starter Cal Quantrill: only 66 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Cal Quantrill: only 59 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections