Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Trevor Rogers vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 2026-06-20 · 66°F

5.1% edge · Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore Orioles win

34.4%

Los Angeles Dodgers win

65.6%

Fair line (home)

-191

Proj. total

9.04

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Baltimore Orioles (mean 3.92)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.12)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.04

Over

50.6%

Under

41.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Baltimore Orioles	34.4%	+234	+191
Los Angeles Dodgers	65.6%	-261	-191

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Taylor Ward	4.7	.607	.164	.010	.154	.558	1.244	.228	.326	.385	.711
Gunnar Henderson	4.6	.621	.180	.021	.178	.448	1.144	.244	.324	.428	.752
Pete Alonso	4.5	.548	.150	.005	.223	.411	1.179	.232	.315	.440	.754
Samuel Basallo	4.4	.569	.153	.010	.185	.351	1.233	.229	.296	.411	.708
Leody Taveras	4.3	.644	.138	.026	.090	.320	1.056	.228	.289	.345	.634
Colton Cowser	4.2	.501	.138	.007	.148	.392	1.416	.213	.295	.373	.668
Coby Mayo	4.0	.462	.151	.012	.167	.349	1.282	.216	.291	.400	.691
Jackson Holliday	3.9	.521	.120	.024	.101	.402	1.046	.219	.305	.354	.658
Blaze Alexander	3.8	.512	.126	.015	.085	.293	1.229	.213	.287	.332	.619

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.7	.638	.179	.040	.304	.664	1.016	.292	.398	.587	.984
Andy Pages	4.6	.720	.216	.013	.217	.283	.853	.276	.328	.488	.816
Freddie Freeman	4.4	.771	.227	.016	.172	.468	.727	.302	.382	.499	.881
Mookie Betts	4.3	.718	.196	.019	.174	.457	.454	.287	.366	.484	.850
Miguel Rojas	4.2	.789	.190	.006	.086	.270	.517	.272	.324	.389	.713
Tommy Edman	4.1	.701	.166	.013	.106	.241	.706	.257	.308	.389	.697
Kyle Tucker	4.0	.605	.174	.020	.171	.516	.595	.279	.375	.488	.863
Alex Call	3.9	.613	.158	.011	.091	.470	.684	.257	.354	.391	.745
Dalton Rushing	3.8	.527	.138	.009	.158	.356	.952	.246	.326	.432	.758

Data notes: away starter Trevor Rogers: only 69 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections