Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Nick Martinez vs Eric Lauer · 2026-06-15 · 68°F

1.3% edge · Los Angeles Dodgers

Tampa Bay Rays win

36.5%

Los Angeles Dodgers win

63.5%

Fair line (home)

-174

Proj. total

9.73

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Tampa Bay Rays (mean 4.32)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.41)

O/U line

9.5

Proj. total

9.73

Over

47.2%

Under

52.8%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Tampa Bay Rays	36.5%	+159	+174
Los Angeles Dodgers	63.5%	-174	-174

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Yandy Díaz	4.8	.806	.185	.011	.223	.479	.723	.290	.368	.497	.865
Jonathan Aranda	4.7	.644	.163	.004	.214	.552	1.222	.254	.351	.455	.807
Junior Caminero	4.5	.607	.156	.004	.347	.414	.848	.272	.342	.566	.908
Ryan Vilade	4.4	.625	.163	.025	.123	.384	1.105	.233	.305	.378	.683
Ben Williamson	4.3	.718	.179	.019	.055	.333	.919	.246	.310	.342	.652
Austin Slater	4.2	.522	.129	.011	.116	.450	1.284	.208	.300	.342	.642
Cedric Mullins	4.1	.502	.143	.019	.149	.398	.928	.221	.302	.391	.693
Nick Fortes	4.0	.592	.151	.005	.117	.213	.701	.232	.286	.370	.656
Taylor Walls	3.9	.471	.108	.018	.062	.393	1.021	.190	.277	.285	.562

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.7	.654	.178	.042	.333	.593	.946	.300	.395	.614	1.009
Andy Pages	4.5	.734	.224	.014	.246	.239	.770	.286	.330	.518	.848
Freddie Freeman	4.4	.760	.226	.016	.189	.424	.677	.301	.375	.510	.885
Mookie Betts	4.3	.713	.196	.021	.193	.392	.438	.287	.356	.496	.851
Max Muncy	4.2	.519	.140	.008	.247	.546	.909	.252	.356	.499	.855
Kyle Tucker	4.1	.601	.173	.019	.202	.503	.576	.277	.369	.503	.872
Ryan Ward	4.0	.549	.152	.017	.172	.291	.923	.240	.299	.430	.729
Dalton Rushing	3.9	.544	.140	.009	.186	.317	.932	.249	.321	.452	.773
Alex Freeland	3.8	.547	.133	.016	.117	.362	.865	.241	.322	.394	.717

Data notes: home starter Eric Lauer: only 40 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections