Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Drew Rasmussen vs Justin Wrobleski · 2026-06-16 · 67°F

1.9% edge · Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays win

44.0%

Los Angeles Dodgers win

56.0%

Fair line (home)

-127

Proj. total

8.91

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Tampa Bay Rays (mean 4.31)Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 4.59)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.91

Over

50.0%

Under

42.3%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Tampa Bay Rays	44.0%	+133	+127
Los Angeles Dodgers	56.0%	-144	-127

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Yandy Díaz	4.8	.849	.196	.013	.199	.478	.669	.294	.371	.485	.856
Austin Slater	4.7	.625	.159	.012	.123	.503	1.333	.221	.310	.353	.664
Jonathan Aranda	4.6	.672	.165	.005	.181	.556	1.135	.258	.358	.438	.796
Junior Caminero	4.5	.642	.173	.005	.312	.395	.787	.278	.346	.553	.899
Ryan Vilade	4.4	.629	.169	.023	.112	.383	1.023	.236	.310	.375	.685
Ben Williamson	4.3	.724	.191	.020	.044	.333	.851	.251	.316	.344	.659
Chandler Simpson	4.2	.892	.117	.049	.017	.251	.456	.276	.323	.344	.666
Nick Fortes	4.0	.611	.150	.008	.108	.223	.646	.234	.289	.364	.653
Taylor Walls	3.9	.503	.119	.023	.054	.397	.945	.199	.285	.293	.578

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.6	.605	.173	.043	.284	.585	1.162	.278	.375	.557	.932
Andy Pages	4.5	.694	.201	.012	.197	.245	.972	.264	.312	.459	.771
Freddie Freeman	4.4	.716	.212	.017	.156	.422	.851	.283	.360	.465	.825
Mookie Betts	4.3	.675	.196	.021	.158	.411	.552	.274	.349	.460	.809
Max Muncy	4.2	.486	.134	.010	.208	.526	1.080	.232	.337	.449	.785
Kyle Tucker	4.1	.574	.163	.019	.173	.497	.716	.262	.356	.465	.821
Ryan Ward	4.0	.498	.137	.017	.154	.281	1.097	.220	.280	.393	.672
Alex Freeland	3.8	.523	.125	.015	.097	.377	1.067	.222	.307	.352	.659
Chuckie Robinson	3.7	.556	.108	.019	.077	.188	1.020	.217	.263	.324	.588

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections