← Slate

St. Louis Cardinals @ Kansas City Royals

Matthew Liberatore vs Noah Cameron · 2026-06-18 · 79°F
0.0% edge · St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals win
48.7%
Kansas City Royals win
51.3%
Fair line (home)
-105
Proj. total
9.48

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

0%7%14%03691215182124Runs scored
St. Louis Cardinals (mean 4.80)Kansas City Royals (mean 4.68)

Totals

O/U line
9
Proj. total
9.48
Over
44.7%
Under
44.7%

Model vs. market

SideModelBookFair
St. Louis Cardinals48.7%+101+105
Kansas City Royals51.3%-110-105

St. Louis Cardinals — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
JJ Wetherholt4.9.856.203.009.142.484.772.279.362.428.790
Iván Herrera4.8.856.201.015.132.530.798.290.384.442.825
Jordan Walker4.7.768.222.012.180.3451.115.275.334.458.792
Nelson Velázquez4.6.638.162.011.184.3921.172.241.313.419.733
Alec Burleson4.5.842.204.007.164.344.597.299.357.473.830
Masyn Winn4.3.769.191.026.082.325.726.268.330.391.720
Blaze Jordan4.2.756.202.012.102.237.535.270.316.405.721
José Fermín4.1.679.191.009.073.434.507.262.350.380.730
Pedro Pagés4.0.622.152.009.113.244.959.240.292.376.668

Kansas City Royals — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
Lane Thomas4.7.733.221.019.118.4511.034.261.341.408.749
Bobby Witt Jr.4.6.819.266.036.170.382.696.311.374.515.889
Jac Caglianone4.5.746.209.018.169.368.953.283.350.469.819
Starling Marte4.3.847.202.014.087.295.874.288.348.411.759
Salvador Perez4.3.701.177.004.174.229.745.267.316.445.762
Carter Jensen4.1.624.181.018.124.416.984.255.334.414.748
Nick Loftin4.0.676.185.032.072.413.538.270.353.400.752
Isaac Collins3.9.601.168.015.064.457.810.249.347.363.710
Michael Massey3.8.682.197.009.106.183.596.276.315.423.738
Data notes: home starter Noah Cameron: only 70 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Matthew Liberatore: only 73 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections