Houston Astros @ Kansas City Royals

Mike Burrows vs Noah Cameron · 2026-06-13 · 82°F · Final 8–7

2.9% edge · Kansas City Royals

Houston Astros win

47.4%

Kansas City Royals win

52.6%

Fair line (home)

-111

Proj. total

9.82

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Houston Astros (mean 4.87)Kansas City Royals (mean 4.95)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.82

Over

20.0%

Under

73.4%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Houston Astros	47.4%	-114	+111
Kansas City Royals	52.6%	-106	-111

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jeremy Peña	4.9	.904	.229	.018	.136	.284	.760	.284	.336	.432	.768
Yordan Alvarez	4.8	.779	.230	.010	.262	.619	.755	.313	.411	.567	.977
Christian Walker	4.7	.623	.193	.013	.223	.400	1.074	.250	.323	.461	.784
Isaac Paredes	4.5	.640	.182	.007	.183	.514	.713	.256	.354	.446	.800
Jose Altuve	4.4	.766	.196	.005	.147	.391	.746	.277	.346	.438	.784
Cam Smith	4.3	.670	.177	.028	.114	.380	1.083	.252	.326	.399	.725
Jake Meyers	4.2	.725	.171	.018	.088	.344	.823	.261	.329	.383	.712
Brice Matthews	4.1	.570	.141	.036	.107	.362	1.256	.229	.304	.373	.677
Christian Vázquez	4.0	.638	.143	.006	.086	.282	.735	.236	.295	.348	.643

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Carter Jensen	4.7	.663	.201	.019	.171	.492	1.185	.254	.337	.436	.773
Bobby Witt Jr.	4.5	.761	.253	.035	.229	.384	.766	.310	.374	.555	.929
Vinnie Pasquantino	4.4	.666	.189	.023	.200	.430	.666	.272	.348	.482	.830
Maikel Garcia	4.3	.763	.210	.028	.104	.392	.623	.282	.350	.430	.780
Jac Caglianone	4.2	.656	.159	.019	.198	.357	1.003	.271	.341	.477	.818
Salvador Perez	4.1	.625	.150	.003	.216	.219	.817	.260	.311	.470	.781
Michael Massey	4.0	.697	.202	.009	.135	.205	.717	.276	.318	.441	.759
Lane Thomas	3.9	.569	.167	.013	.130	.386	.939	.254	.337	.423	.760
Kameron Misner	3.8	.464	.164	.021	.110	.418	1.158	.227	.317	.387	.704

Data notes: home starter Noah Cameron: only 70 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections