Cleveland Guardians @ Houston Astros

Joey Cantillo vs Spencer Arrighetti · 2026-06-20 · 82°F

1.4% edge · Houston Astros

Cleveland Guardians win

41.0%

Houston Astros win

59.0%

Fair line (home)

-144

Proj. total

9.21

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 4.29)Houston Astros (mean 4.92)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.21

Over

52.2%

Under

47.8%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	41.0%	+131	+144
Houston Astros	59.0%	-142	-144

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Travis Bazzana	4.8	.631	.174	.031	.114	.664	1.234	.231	.347	.371	.717
Kyle Manzardo	4.7	.530	.163	.018	.236	.593	1.266	.233	.340	.455	.795
Brayan Rocchio	4.6	.687	.181	.022	.111	.472	.819	.247	.340	.385	.726
Rhys Hoskins	4.5	.493	.153	.006	.197	.648	1.296	.224	.348	.423	.771
Daniel Schneemann	4.4	.557	.158	.009	.116	.518	1.258	.218	.315	.353	.668
Kahlil Watson	4.3	.496	.136	.012	.158	.440	1.410	.212	.304	.379	.683
Steven Kwan	4.2	.738	.156	.011	.080	.534	.443	.272	.371	.388	.759
Patrick Bailey	4.1	.542	.121	.019	.101	.381	1.134	.214	.295	.340	.635
Petey Halpin	4.0	.527	.142	.017	.083	.343	1.160	.214	.288	.332	.621

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jeremy Peña	4.7	.804	.203	.013	.149	.349	.854	.275	.339	.434	.773
Yordan Alvarez	4.6	.678	.203	.009	.291	.706	.819	.311	.425	.599	1.023
Christian Walker	4.5	.551	.157	.009	.227	.477	1.153	.241	.331	.459	.790
Isaac Paredes	4.3	.561	.152	.005	.202	.598	.789	.251	.368	.460	.828
Jose Altuve	4.2	.687	.172	.006	.155	.439	.822	.270	.351	.443	.794
Yainer Diaz	4.1	.721	.172	.009	.173	.220	.742	.276	.319	.458	.777
Cam Smith	4.0	.577	.141	.021	.120	.434	1.117	.242	.331	.394	.726
Jake Meyers	3.9	.629	.148	.013	.091	.368	.864	.252	.330	.380	.709
Brice Matthews	3.8	.483	.107	.025	.124	.370	1.274	.218	.301	.374	.675

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections