Kansas City Royals @ Chicago White Sox

Michael Wacha vs Davis Martin · 2026-06-27 · 68°F

1.9% edge · Kansas City Royals

Kansas City Royals win

47.7%

Chicago White Sox win

52.3%

Fair line (home)

-110

Proj. total

8.89

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Kansas City Royals (mean 4.45)Chicago White Sox (mean 4.44)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.89

Over

49.7%

Under

42.5%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Kansas City Royals	47.7%	+114	+110
Chicago White Sox	52.3%	-124	-110

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Carter Jensen	4.8	.673	.199	.020	.158	.471	1.224	.243	.321	.408	.730
Bobby Witt Jr.	4.7	.780	.251	.035	.190	.372	.787	.293	.356	.501	.857
Jac Caglianone	4.6	.696	.182	.018	.194	.363	1.071	.261	.329	.453	.782
Lane Thomas	4.5	.649	.183	.013	.133	.406	1.074	.244	.322	.396	.718
Michael Massey	4.4	.723	.210	.012	.133	.204	.745	.261	.301	.414	.715
Salvador Perez	4.3	.643	.153	.004	.188	.216	.825	.248	.299	.430	.729
John Rave	4.2	.580	.156	.023	.102	.391	1.037	.231	.308	.367	.675
Nick Loftin	4.0	.614	.159	.030	.080	.403	.585	.246	.332	.374	.706
Isaac Collins	3.9	.558	.154	.019	.073	.464	.888	.237	.338	.358	.696

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Sam Antonacci	4.6	.870	.177	.035	.064	.420	.688	.281	.367	.389	.757
Miguel Vargas	4.5	.639	.202	.017	.183	.533	.734	.264	.357	.462	.820
Andrew Benintendi	4.4	.775	.166	.024	.139	.373	.770	.275	.340	.432	.772
Colson Montgomery	4.3	.547	.152	.011	.230	.370	1.134	.243	.320	.466	.786
Chase Meidroth	4.2	.815	.162	.005	.079	.435	.626	.285	.367	.395	.762
Braden Montgomery	4.1	.656	.170	.018	.117	.337	1.061	.258	.327	.407	.735
Tristan Peters	4.0	.667	.179	.019	.086	.324	.751	.261	.327	.391	.717
Jacob Gonzalez	3.9	.628	.153	.013	.120	.290	.696	.257	.320	.408	.728
Drew Romo	3.8	.575	.130	.010	.121	.218	.835	.239	.291	.385	.676

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections