3.1% edge · Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals win
48.8%
Chicago White Sox win
51.2%
Fair line (home)
-105
Proj. total
8.96
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Kansas City Royals (mean 4.53)Chicago White Sox (mean 4.43)
Totals
O/U line
8.5
Proj. total
8.96
Over
50.3%
Under
49.7%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals | 48.8% | +115 | +105 |
| Chicago White Sox | 51.2% | -124 | -105 |
Kansas City Royals — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Jensen | 4.8 | .631 | .188 | .016 | .162 | .521 | 1.220 | .232 | .319 | .397 | .716 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 4.7 | .749 | .240 | .032 | .199 | .438 | .751 | .288 | .360 | .501 | .861 |
| Jac Caglianone | 4.6 | .671 | .186 | .018 | .200 | .406 | 1.058 | .259 | .332 | .457 | .789 |
| Lane Thomas | 4.5 | .615 | .178 | .013 | .141 | .468 | 1.050 | .237 | .325 | .394 | .719 |
| Michael Massey | 4.4 | .684 | .197 | .012 | .144 | .244 | .751 | .252 | .299 | .411 | .710 |
| Salvador Perez | 4.3 | .644 | .153 | .003 | .202 | .246 | .811 | .253 | .307 | .446 | .752 |
| Josh Rojas | 4.2 | .614 | .181 | .015 | .069 | .418 | .815 | .236 | .317 | .348 | .665 |
| Nick Loftin | 4.0 | .605 | .155 | .028 | .081 | .466 | .592 | .245 | .341 | .374 | .715 |
| Isaac Collins | 3.9 | .521 | .142 | .017 | .077 | .535 | .890 | .226 | .341 | .347 | .688 |
Chicago White Sox — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Antonacci | 4.7 | .848 | .168 | .032 | .052 | .521 | .753 | .274 | .379 | .371 | .750 |
| Miguel Vargas | 4.6 | .597 | .196 | .016 | .174 | .635 | .802 | .252 | .364 | .444 | .808 |
| Kyle Teel | 4.5 | .720 | .165 | .007 | .113 | .571 | 1.070 | .260 | .361 | .394 | .755 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 4.4 | .710 | .154 | .024 | .122 | .441 | .840 | .258 | .338 | .404 | .742 |
| Colson Montgomery | 4.3 | .510 | .138 | .010 | .193 | .436 | 1.222 | .226 | .319 | .422 | .741 |
| Chase Meidroth | 4.2 | .734 | .152 | .005 | .067 | .516 | .693 | .267 | .367 | .368 | .735 |
| Braden Montgomery | 4.1 | .615 | .165 | .017 | .098 | .388 | 1.114 | .247 | .328 | .383 | .712 |
| Tristan Peters | 4.0 | .619 | .174 | .017 | .075 | .377 | .817 | .250 | .329 | .373 | .701 |
| Jacob Gonzalez | 3.8 | .572 | .133 | .011 | .104 | .354 | .750 | .239 | .318 | .376 | .694 |
Data notes: home starter David Sandlin: only 36 BF vs LHB this season · home starter David Sandlin: only 22 BF vs RHB this season · away starter Steven Cruz: only 65 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Steven Cruz: only 39 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections