0.8% edge · Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians win
50.7%
Chicago White Sox win
49.3%
Fair line (home)
+103
Proj. total
7.82
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Cleveland Guardians (mean 4.07)Chicago White Sox (mean 3.76)
Totals
O/U line
7
Proj. total
7.82
Over
47.4%
Under
40.7%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 50.7% | -111 | -103 |
| Chicago White Sox | 49.3% | +102 | +103 |
Cleveland Guardians — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Bazzana | 4.8 | .621 | .186 | .029 | .107 | .634 | 1.167 | .229 | .339 | .367 | .706 |
| Kyle Manzardo | 4.7 | .530 | .160 | .017 | .223 | .569 | 1.206 | .229 | .331 | .441 | .773 |
| Brayan Rocchio | 4.6 | .686 | .178 | .020 | .102 | .439 | .758 | .243 | .329 | .372 | .700 |
| Rhys Hoskins | 4.5 | .493 | .144 | .007 | .187 | .624 | 1.237 | .219 | .338 | .409 | .747 |
| Daniel Schneemann | 4.4 | .553 | .156 | .009 | .111 | .511 | 1.170 | .217 | .313 | .349 | .662 |
| Kahlil Watson | 4.3 | .501 | .138 | .020 | .146 | .420 | 1.347 | .212 | .298 | .374 | .672 |
| Steven Kwan | 4.1 | .739 | .149 | .010 | .067 | .492 | .403 | .266 | .358 | .368 | .726 |
| Austin Hedges | 4.0 | .527 | .114 | .006 | .101 | .378 | .979 | .207 | .289 | .325 | .614 |
| Petey Halpin | 3.9 | .527 | .127 | .016 | .076 | .330 | 1.107 | .209 | .280 | .318 | .598 |
Chicago White Sox — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Vargas | 4.5 | .606 | .198 | .016 | .158 | .560 | .876 | .248 | .349 | .427 | .776 |
| Randal Grichuk | 4.4 | .663 | .182 | .011 | .175 | .279 | .983 | .250 | .304 | .428 | .732 |
| Chase Meidroth | 4.3 | .767 | .156 | .005 | .071 | .473 | .787 | .263 | .352 | .362 | .714 |
| Colson Montgomery | 4.2 | .491 | .144 | .010 | .191 | .382 | 1.309 | .221 | .305 | .417 | .722 |
| Junior Perez | 4.1 | .481 | .145 | .024 | .105 | .359 | 1.420 | .201 | .275 | .337 | .612 |
| Braden Montgomery | 4.0 | .577 | .157 | .014 | .092 | .312 | 1.228 | .229 | .298 | .355 | .654 |
| Luisangel Acuña | 3.9 | .738 | .153 | .016 | .048 | .241 | .716 | .262 | .313 | .352 | .665 |
| Sam Antonacci | 3.8 | .671 | .142 | .029 | .046 | .384 | .667 | .270 | .368 | .372 | .740 |
| Drew Romo | 3.7 | .508 | .126 | .006 | .102 | .203 | .965 | .216 | .270 | .346 | .616 |
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections