Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox

Gavin Williams vs Anthony Kay · 2026-06-22 · 63°F

1.6% edge · Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians win

48.4%

Chicago White Sox win

51.5%

Fair line (home)

-106

Proj. total

7.85

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 3.95)Chicago White Sox (mean 3.90)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

7.85

Over

47.4%

Under

52.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	48.4%	-104	+106
Chicago White Sox	51.5%	-104	-106

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Travis Bazzana	4.8	.659	.203	.030	.084	.602	1.060	.237	.342	.362	.704
David Fry	4.7	.618	.179	.009	.133	.481	1.175	.228	.321	.373	.694
Brayan Rocchio	4.6	.736	.186	.014	.087	.370	.685	.250	.326	.366	.692
Rhys Hoskins	4.5	.527	.165	.006	.156	.606	1.126	.226	.342	.396	.738
Kyle Manzardo	4.3	.533	.165	.017	.179	.495	1.040	.235	.332	.429	.761
Gabriel Arias	4.3	.602	.181	.019	.111	.298	1.219	.234	.297	.375	.672
Stuart Fairchild	4.1	.581	.156	.024	.082	.422	1.021	.231	.323	.355	.677
Austin Hedges	4.0	.559	.121	.006	.082	.363	.891	.212	.291	.317	.608
Petey Halpin	3.9	.546	.141	.019	.071	.299	1.008	.217	.283	.326	.609

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Sam Antonacci	4.6	.798	.160	.032	.052	.518	.905	.262	.366	.358	.724
Miguel Vargas	4.5	.574	.175	.017	.150	.630	.946	.238	.352	.410	.762
Andrew Benintendi	4.4	.691	.148	.021	.113	.433	1.014	.246	.324	.380	.705
Kyle Teel	4.3	.631	.137	.007	.107	.552	1.190	.238	.342	.365	.706
Colson Montgomery	4.2	.474	.127	.009	.191	.414	1.374	.215	.304	.407	.711
Chase Meidroth	4.1	.670	.144	.004	.064	.508	.815	.249	.351	.346	.696
Braden Montgomery	4.0	.552	.146	.016	.087	.364	1.284	.224	.302	.346	.649
Tristan Peters	3.9	.571	.159	.017	.069	.377	.940	.235	.315	.351	.666
Luisangel Acuña	3.8	.668	.141	.012	.048	.259	.741	.251	.307	.339	.647

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections