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4.1% edge · Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago White Sox
Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Sean Burke · 2026-06-13 · 78°F · Final 7–1
Los Angeles Dodgers win
68.3%
Chicago White Sox win
31.8%
Fair line (home)
+215
Proj. total
9.84
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.98)Chicago White Sox (mean 3.87)
Totals
O/U line
10
Proj. total
9.84
Over
40.5%
Under
51.9%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 68.3% | -183 | -215 |
| Chicago White Sox | 31.8% | +163 | +215 |
Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 5.0 | .617 | .182 | .039 | .367 | .814 | 1.145 | .290 | .410 | .617 | 1.028 |
| Andy Pages | 4.9 | .714 | .200 | .013 | .266 | .342 | .983 | .265 | .325 | .492 | .817 |
| Freddie Freeman | 4.8 | .727 | .218 | .017 | .201 | .592 | .841 | .281 | .378 | .488 | .866 |
| Mookie Betts | 4.7 | .691 | .185 | .017 | .216 | .608 | .567 | .274 | .373 | .489 | .861 |
| Max Muncy | 4.6 | .487 | .138 | .009 | .279 | .751 | 1.075 | .242 | .375 | .505 | .880 |
| Kyle Tucker | 4.5 | .579 | .155 | .019 | .231 | .683 | .708 | .262 | .379 | .498 | .878 |
| Ryan Ward | 4.4 | .499 | .141 | .019 | .207 | .417 | 1.143 | .221 | .300 | .425 | .724 |
| Dalton Rushing | 4.2 | .522 | .130 | .006 | .194 | .471 | 1.104 | .231 | .330 | .427 | .756 |
| Alex Freeland | 4.1 | .519 | .134 | .013 | .134 | .484 | 1.091 | .222 | .322 | .378 | .700 |
Chicago White Sox — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Antonacci | 4.6 | .802 | .161 | .026 | .061 | .424 | .904 | .259 | .350 | .357 | .707 |
| Miguel Vargas | 4.5 | .577 | .181 | .014 | .184 | .532 | .937 | .244 | .341 | .438 | .780 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 4.4 | .648 | .153 | .022 | .139 | .364 | 1.010 | .240 | .307 | .393 | .701 |
| Colson Montgomery | 4.3 | .480 | .136 | .009 | .220 | .380 | 1.358 | .220 | .302 | .432 | .733 |
| Braden Montgomery | 4.2 | .588 | .161 | .017 | .114 | .326 | 1.323 | .230 | .299 | .371 | .670 |
| Chase Meidroth | 4.1 | .677 | .136 | .006 | .071 | .424 | .807 | .246 | .333 | .346 | .679 |
| Jacob Gonzalez | 4.0 | .552 | .125 | .010 | .119 | .302 | .921 | .221 | .288 | .359 | .648 |
| Tristan Peters | 3.9 | .574 | .162 | .016 | .081 | .318 | .932 | .237 | .305 | .361 | .666 |
| Edgar Quero | 3.7 | .592 | .129 | .003 | .080 | .313 | .856 | .238 | .312 | .350 | .661 |
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections