Colorado Rockies @ Chicago Cubs

Michael Lorenzen vs Shota Imanaga · 2026-06-15 · 69°F

2.0% edge · Chicago Cubs

Colorado Rockies win

32.3%

Chicago Cubs win

67.7%

Fair line (home)

-210

Proj. total

9.76

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Colorado Rockies (mean 4.05)Chicago Cubs (mean 5.71)

O/U line

9.5

Proj. total

9.76

Over

47.5%

Under

52.5%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Colorado Rockies	32.3%	+186	+210
Chicago Cubs	67.7%	-204	-210

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Willi Castro	4.7	.736	.177	.021	.104	.284	1.121	.240	.301	.363	.665
Tyler Freeman	4.6	.837	.191	.017	.084	.281	.605	.269	.330	.382	.713
TJ Rumfield	4.5	.713	.183	.015	.146	.329	.837	.258	.319	.416	.736
Hunter Goodman	4.4	.545	.189	.018	.272	.240	1.223	.250	.296	.503	.799
Ezequiel Tovar	4.3	.638	.204	.020	.141	.189	1.055	.247	.285	.412	.697
Cole Carrigg	4.2	.694	.148	.042	.091	.214	.944	.250	.296	.379	.674
Jake McCarthy	4.0	.700	.138	.050	.090	.239	.711	.260	.312	.395	.707
Kyle Karros	3.9	.636	.181	.013	.082	.336	.882	.256	.326	.383	.709
Braxton Fulford	3.8	.510	.151	.023	.116	.275	1.071	.229	.293	.384	.678

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Pete Crow-Armstrong	4.8	.821	.232	.053	.212	.308	.943	.299	.355	.521	.875
Alex Bregman	4.7	.830	.206	.018	.158	.506	.553	.295	.380	.470	.849
Michael Busch	4.5	.691	.215	.035	.208	.535	.910	.290	.382	.519	.901
Seiya Suzuki	4.5	.740	.208	.023	.199	.488	.924	.298	.380	.515	.894
Ian Happ	4.3	.649	.196	.020	.170	.575	.935	.278	.379	.478	.857
Nico Hoerner	4.2	.956	.212	.017	.063	.313	.289	.323	.383	.436	.819
Moisés Ballesteros	4.1	.810	.208	.016	.121	.344	.605	.307	.369	.468	.837
Matt Shaw	4.0	.695	.188	.022	.132	.362	.612	.287	.358	.461	.819
Dansby Swanson	3.9	.662	.162	.022	.141	.375	.794	.282	.356	.463	.818

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections