New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox

Cam Schlittler vs Connelly Early · 2026-06-25 · 81°F

4.8% edge · Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees win

52.0%

Boston Red Sox win

48.0%

Fair line (home)

+108

Proj. total

8.66

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

New York Yankees (mean 4.56)Boston Red Sox (mean 4.10)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.66

Over

47.8%

Under

44.7%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
New York Yankees	52.0%	-138	-108
Boston Red Sox	48.0%	+127	+108

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Paul Goldschmidt	4.9	.806	.207	.014	.134	.453	1.073	.266	.341	.412	.754
Ben Rice	4.8	.608	.189	.022	.223	.565	1.050	.253	.352	.472	.823
Amed Rosario	4.6	.896	.193	.028	.098	.232	.906	.279	.322	.403	.725
Cody Bellinger	4.5	.733	.183	.037	.159	.456	.684	.275	.352	.456	.809
Jasson Domínguez	4.4	.740	.166	.008	.124	.395	1.055	.261	.335	.400	.735
Anthony Volpe	4.3	.594	.188	.024	.106	.381	1.029	.234	.308	.377	.685
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4.2	.588	.130	.019	.170	.432	1.121	.243	.327	.425	.752
José Caballero	4.1	.617	.163	.009	.069	.389	.988	.237	.325	.345	.670
Austin Wells	4.0	.504	.151	.009	.132	.411	1.022	.225	.313	.385	.698

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Masataka Yoshida	4.6	.830	.210	.018	.110	.341	.654	.278	.343	.415	.758
Ceddanne Rafaela	4.5	.720	.214	.033	.126	.228	.986	.260	.308	.417	.724
Wilyer Abreu	4.4	.627	.197	.013	.163	.446	1.057	.255	.334	.436	.770
Willson Contreras	4.3	.579	.161	.017	.166	.431	1.152	.247	.344	.433	.776
Jarren Duran	4.2	.582	.196	.053	.116	.332	1.084	.249	.317	.420	.738
Caleb Durbin	4.1	.654	.210	.017	.080	.292	.524	.261	.332	.392	.724
Anthony Seigler	4.0	.545	.155	.024	.059	.479	.900	.227	.327	.338	.665
Carlos Narváez	3.9	.521	.154	.005	.099	.377	1.071	.227	.311	.361	.671
Marcelo Mayer	3.7	.566	.179	.013	.090	.260	.816	.246	.304	.384	.688

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections