Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox

Nathan Eovaldi vs Connelly Early · 2026-06-14 · 83°F

0.7% edge · Texas Rangers

Texas Rangers win

51.0%

Boston Red Sox win

49.0%

Fair line (home)

+104

Proj. total

8.58

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Texas Rangers (mean 4.45)Boston Red Sox (mean 4.13)

O/U line

9.5

Proj. total

8.58

Over

36.8%

Under

63.2%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Texas Rangers	51.0%	+102	-104
Boston Red Sox	49.0%	-110	+104

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Wyatt Langford	4.8	.702	.184	.032	.161	.599	1.142	.258	.357	.432	.789
Josh Jung	4.7	.817	.217	.007	.147	.291	1.087	.271	.323	.424	.747
Brandon Nimmo	4.6	.758	.172	.014	.133	.458	1.011	.264	.348	.411	.759
Ezequiel Duran	4.5	.752	.232	.023	.095	.265	1.078	.263	.314	.397	.710
Jake Burger	4.4	.650	.182	.007	.186	.271	1.129	.253	.310	.440	.750
Justin Foscue	4.3	.610	.215	.005	.105	.394	.876	.244	.324	.386	.709
Cody Freeman	4.2	.724	.183	.009	.104	.263	.628	.263	.314	.395	.709
Kyle Higashioka	4.1	.560	.150	.013	.144	.281	1.054	.231	.289	.392	.681
Alejandro Osuna	3.9	.683	.161	.011	.069	.390	.782	.265	.350	.377	.727

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Masataka Yoshida	4.6	.879	.218	.020	.096	.290	.609	.288	.345	.418	.763
Ceddanne Rafaela	4.5	.751	.215	.035	.120	.182	.940	.266	.305	.419	.724
Wilyer Abreu	4.3	.651	.194	.018	.166	.383	1.028	.261	.329	.445	.774
Willson Contreras	4.3	.612	.175	.018	.181	.354	1.106	.261	.342	.460	.802
Jarren Duran	4.2	.615	.225	.058	.103	.282	1.021	.262	.320	.432	.751
Caleb Durbin	4.1	.683	.223	.017	.074	.230	.487	.267	.326	.396	.722
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	3.9	.806	.157	.017	.043	.185	.628	.275	.317	.362	.679
Marcelo Mayer	3.8	.616	.194	.014	.088	.234	.809	.256	.307	.393	.700
Carlos Narváez	3.7	.518	.155	.004	.090	.303	.979	.229	.300	.358	.659

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections