5.1% edge · San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants win
49.5%
Atlanta Braves win
50.5%
Fair line (home)
-102
Proj. total
8.91
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
San Francisco Giants (mean 4.54)Atlanta Braves (mean 4.37)
Totals
O/U line
9
Proj. total
8.91
Over
40.1%
Under
49.5%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 49.5% | +121 | +102 |
| Atlanta Braves | 50.5% | -131 | -102 |
San Francisco Giants — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | 4.8 | 1.115 | .198 | .044 | .048 | .278 | .211 | .311 | .356 | .406 | .762 |
| Bryce Eldridge | 4.7 | .678 | .201 | .006 | .165 | .481 | 1.309 | .250 | .332 | .418 | .750 |
| Matt Chapman | 4.6 | .611 | .200 | .016 | .154 | .557 | 1.032 | .245 | .346 | .419 | .764 |
| Rafael Devers | 4.5 | .569 | .186 | .010 | .190 | .568 | 1.135 | .244 | .346 | .443 | .789 |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 4.4 | .831 | .207 | .052 | .073 | .328 | .460 | .288 | .349 | .420 | .769 |
| Willy Adames | 4.3 | .558 | .173 | .016 | .162 | .455 | 1.046 | .239 | .325 | .420 | .745 |
| Casey Schmitt | 4.2 | .640 | .171 | .016 | .148 | .261 | .882 | .251 | .306 | .417 | .723 |
| Drew Gilbert | 4.1 | .577 | .166 | .030 | .096 | .340 | .776 | .236 | .310 | .375 | .685 |
| Eric Haase | 4.0 | .547 | .136 | .009 | .116 | .268 | 1.202 | .221 | .280 | .358 | .637 |
Atlanta Braves — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauricio Dubón | 4.6 | .904 | .209 | .020 | .083 | .279 | .544 | .281 | .329 | .396 | .725 |
| Drake Baldwin | 4.5 | .807 | .181 | .013 | .178 | .469 | .715 | .294 | .373 | .479 | .852 |
| Matt Olson | 4.4 | .634 | .205 | .009 | .201 | .567 | .913 | .275 | .374 | .492 | .865 |
| Ozzie Albies | 4.3 | .768 | .200 | .009 | .119 | .312 | .523 | .278 | .339 | .423 | .762 |
| Austin Riley | 4.2 | .686 | .182 | .018 | .151 | .361 | .990 | .273 | .344 | .450 | .794 |
| Eli White | 4.1 | .697 | .136 | .038 | .100 | .299 | .904 | .258 | .321 | .395 | .716 |
| Jorge Mateo | 4.0 | .645 | .194 | .014 | .093 | .259 | .904 | .255 | .308 | .391 | .699 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 3.9 | .548 | .170 | .021 | .113 | .446 | .785 | .251 | .345 | .414 | .759 |
| Sandy León | 3.8 | .455 | .090 | .007 | .062 | .297 | 1.204 | .179 | .254 | .264 | .518 |
Data notes: home starter JR Ritchie: only 43 BF vs RHB this season · away starter Carson Whisenhunt: only 0 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Carson Whisenhunt: only 0 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections