1.6% edge · Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels win
49.1%
Arizona Diamondbacks win
50.9%
Fair line (home)
-104
Proj. total
9.55
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.87)Arizona Diamondbacks (mean 4.68)
Totals
O/U line
8.5
Proj. total
9.55
Over
55.7%
Under
44.3%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 49.1% | -107 | +104 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 50.9% | -101 | -104 |
Los Angeles Angels — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto | 4.9 | .718 | .230 | .014 | .220 | .386 | 1.121 | .267 | .338 | .475 | .813 |
| Mike Trout | 4.8 | .632 | .163 | .012 | .237 | .716 | 1.205 | .260 | .377 | .484 | .861 |
| Nolan Schanuel | 4.7 | .858 | .203 | .007 | .124 | .465 | .594 | .287 | .367 | .430 | .796 |
| Jo Adell | 4.6 | .671 | .178 | .012 | .253 | .261 | 1.051 | .262 | .314 | .489 | .803 |
| Nick Madrigal | 4.5 | .942 | .204 | .027 | .040 | .291 | .372 | .295 | .351 | .387 | .738 |
| Wade Meckler | 4.3 | .808 | .193 | .016 | .068 | .435 | .835 | .279 | .354 | .389 | .743 |
| Denzer Guzman | 4.2 | .678 | .181 | .015 | .115 | .295 | 1.005 | .252 | .308 | .395 | .703 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 4.1 | .632 | .134 | .010 | .164 | .284 | 1.012 | .247 | .304 | .416 | .720 |
| Donovan Walton | 4.0 | .673 | .152 | .012 | .081 | .332 | .631 | .252 | .320 | .367 | .688 |
Arizona Diamondbacks — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte | 4.7 | .732 | .188 | .015 | .210 | .469 | .847 | .276 | .357 | .479 | .837 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 4.6 | .792 | .170 | .025 | .098 | .553 | .666 | .275 | .373 | .405 | .777 |
| Corbin Carroll | 4.5 | .582 | .172 | .087 | .209 | .545 | 1.005 | .273 | .371 | .525 | .897 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 4.3 | .728 | .195 | .015 | .146 | .305 | .798 | .271 | .329 | .436 | .765 |
| Nolan Arenado | 4.2 | .675 | .176 | .011 | .153 | .351 | .764 | .264 | .333 | .435 | .768 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 4.1 | .768 | .160 | .026 | .086 | .216 | .516 | .269 | .316 | .391 | .707 |
| Jordan Lawlar | 4.0 | .568 | .177 | .036 | .108 | .372 | 1.145 | .247 | .326 | .406 | .732 |
| Adrian Del Castillo | 3.9 | .518 | .169 | .010 | .121 | .356 | 1.179 | .231 | .306 | .388 | .694 |
| LuJames Groover | 3.8 | .647 | .162 | .010 | .078 | .389 | .795 | .267 | .350 | .390 | .741 |
Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections