7.1% edge · Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels win
38.5%
Arizona Diamondbacks win
61.5%
Fair line (home)
-160
Proj. total
10.66
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.84)Arizona Diamondbacks (mean 5.81)
Totals
O/U line
9
Proj. total
10.66
Over
55.1%
Under
35.9%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 38.5% | +115 | +160 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 61.5% | -125 | -160 |
Los Angeles Angels — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto | 4.8 | .704 | .229 | .017 | .221 | .364 | 1.099 | .267 | .337 | .477 | .815 |
| Mike Trout | 4.7 | .640 | .151 | .012 | .257 | .669 | 1.168 | .264 | .375 | .500 | .874 |
| Wade Meckler | 4.6 | .851 | .195 | .018 | .081 | .432 | .888 | .274 | .346 | .388 | .733 |
| Jo Adell | 4.5 | .671 | .176 | .011 | .253 | .241 | 1.032 | .263 | .313 | .490 | .803 |
| Nolan Schanuel | 4.4 | .821 | .192 | .008 | .128 | .413 | .560 | .291 | .366 | .441 | .807 |
| Denzer Guzman | 4.3 | .702 | .182 | .017 | .122 | .290 | 1.000 | .256 | .311 | .401 | .712 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 4.2 | .659 | .133 | .010 | .177 | .290 | .982 | .253 | .310 | .429 | .739 |
| Donovan Walton | 4.1 | .689 | .153 | .013 | .089 | .311 | .632 | .253 | .316 | .372 | .688 |
| Oswald Peraza | 4.0 | .632 | .132 | .022 | .132 | .240 | .881 | .250 | .306 | .406 | .712 |
Arizona Diamondbacks — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte | 4.9 | .821 | .225 | .028 | .196 | .646 | .640 | .303 | .403 | .510 | .913 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 4.8 | .849 | .188 | .041 | .093 | .752 | .506 | .295 | .414 | .433 | .848 |
| Corbin Carroll | 4.7 | .654 | .189 | .101 | .189 | .690 | .808 | .289 | .404 | .534 | .938 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 4.5 | .861 | .218 | .011 | .114 | .582 | .651 | .306 | .400 | .454 | .855 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 4.4 | .791 | .212 | .014 | .138 | .367 | .626 | .286 | .352 | .448 | .801 |
| Nolan Arenado | 4.3 | .741 | .192 | .011 | .137 | .420 | .603 | .280 | .358 | .442 | .800 |
| Jordan Lawlar | 4.2 | .665 | .201 | .039 | .106 | .466 | .967 | .273 | .363 | .434 | .797 |
| Pavin Smith | 4.1 | .615 | .172 | .015 | .103 | .665 | .903 | .264 | .387 | .413 | .800 |
| Tommy Troy | 4.0 | .700 | .172 | .034 | .069 | .457 | .764 | .278 | .367 | .405 | .772 |
Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections