Los Angeles Angels @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Sam Aldegheri vs Eduardo Rodriguez · 2026-06-17 · 85°F

1.5% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels win

40.7%

Arizona Diamondbacks win

59.3%

Fair line (home)

-146

Proj. total

9.99

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.62)Arizona Diamondbacks (mean 5.37)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

9.99

Over

49.8%

Under

40.4%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Angels	40.7%	+150	+146
Arizona Diamondbacks	59.3%	-164	-146

Los Angeles Angels — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.8	.690	.228	.014	.202	.388	1.135	.259	.330	.457	.787
Mike Trout	4.7	.616	.165	.014	.244	.730	1.198	.263	.383	.497	.880
Jo Adell	4.6	.668	.182	.012	.243	.267	1.074	.258	.309	.475	.785
Oswald Peraza	4.5	.738	.152	.024	.134	.294	.998	.253	.310	.398	.708
Vaughn Grissom	4.4	.806	.217	.008	.112	.329	.682	.284	.344	.426	.770
Denzer Guzman	4.3	.677	.186	.016	.108	.302	1.021	.249	.307	.386	.693
Jose Siri	4.2	.557	.155	.027	.159	.275	1.302	.232	.289	.410	.698
Logan Porter	4.1	.575	.130	.017	.086	.418	1.088	.224	.308	.341	.649
Wade Meckler	3.9	.727	.172	.017	.060	.405	.792	.278	.355	.388	.743

Arizona Diamondbacks — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ketel Marte	4.8	.789	.209	.018	.231	.522	.662	.296	.381	.519	.899
Geraldo Perdomo	4.7	.820	.180	.031	.105	.611	.515	.284	.387	.423	.810
Corbin Carroll	4.6	.630	.185	.102	.225	.594	.808	.292	.393	.564	.957
Gabriel Moreno	4.5	.836	.206	.011	.141	.504	.661	.305	.389	.471	.861
Nolan Arenado	4.3	.723	.194	.010	.156	.392	.611	.277	.350	.452	.802
Ildemaro Vargas	4.2	.794	.176	.030	.092	.238	.412	.276	.326	.406	.732
Jordan Lawlar	4.1	.632	.195	.037	.110	.413	.988	.266	.349	.430	.779
LuJames Groover	4.0	.759	.173	.013	.077	.421	.671	.287	.370	.409	.778
Tommy Troy	3.9	.666	.172	.033	.070	.400	.771	.271	.353	.400	.753

Data notes: away starter Sam Aldegheri: only 26 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Sam Aldegheri: only 46 BF vs RHB this season · game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections